With one day to go before the election, a new poll shows that voters in Maine favor repealing the gay marriage law by 51% to 47%, virtually a tie given the poll’s margin of error or plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.
The latest results released on Monday showed slight movement in favor of Question 1, the ballot initiative that would repeal the gay marriage law, since a poll two weeks ago showed the measure tied at 48%.
The polling company, Public Policy Polling, said the results indicate that the age of voters who turn out will be key to the outcome in Maine.
"The measure's fate could be determined by the age composition of the electorate on Tuesday," said Public Policy Polling in an announcement. "Senior citizens support it by a 59-40 margin while voters under 30 oppose it 51-48. Last year exit polls showed more voters under 30 turning out for the Presidential election than ones over 65 but we expect seniors to turn out at a much higher rate than younger voters this year, as is often the case in off year elections. If the electorate ends up being younger than we anticipate the fight could be even closer."
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